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League Cup · Northern Ireland
Institute vs Loughgall prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Institute host Loughgall in the League Cup (Northern Ireland) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Institute 0–3 Loughgall.
Going into the match, Institute had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 15. Loughgall had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Institute's last 10 and 7 of Loughgall's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Institute averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Loughgall averaged 1.55 scored and 1.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.73 goals from Institute and 1.89 from Loughgall. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 41%, against 38%, 25% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Institute (green) and Loughgall (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Aug 2026 · Institute 0–0 Loughgall
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Cup matches that day
- Annagh United vs Limavady United · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Cup
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 3–4 - Armagh City vs H&W Welders · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Cup
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 1–3 - Ballinamallard United vs Queen's University · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Cup
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 1–1 - Bangor vs Dungannon Swifts · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Cup
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–2 - Carrick Rangers vs Newry City AFC · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 3–0 - Dundela vs Moyola Park · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 1–4 - Newington Youth vs Ballymena United · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–3 - Portadown vs Cliftonville FC · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–2 - Rathfriland vs Ards · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Cup
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 1–0 - Strabane Athletic vs Glenavon FC · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Cup
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 0–5