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League Cup · Northern Ireland
Carrick Rangers vs Newry City AFC prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Carrick Rangers host Newry City AFC in the League Cup (Northern Ireland) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Carrick Rangers 3–0 Newry City AFC.
Going into the match, Carrick Rangers had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 18. Newry City AFC had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Carrick Rangers's last 10 and 9 of Newry City AFC's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Carrick Rangers averaged 1.44 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Newry City AFC averaged 1.75 scored and 1.13 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.51 goals from Carrick Rangers and 1.49 from Newry City AFC. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 21%, against 78%, 15% and 7% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Carrick Rangers (green) and Newry City AFC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrick Rangers | DWWLL | 1.80 | 1.80 | 50% | 60% |
| Newry City AFC | DWLWD | 1.80 | 1.60 | 90% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Carrick Rangers 1st Half Win | 60% | 1.50 |
| Carrick Rangers HT & FT | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 43% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Cup matches that day
- Annagh United vs Limavady United · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Cup
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 3–4 - Armagh City vs H&W Welders · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Cup
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 1–3 - Ballinamallard United vs Queen's University · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Cup
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 1–1 - Bangor vs Dungannon Swifts · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Cup
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–2 - Dundela vs Moyola Park · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 1–4 - Institute vs Loughgall · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Cup
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–3 - Newington Youth vs Ballymena United · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–3 - Portadown vs Cliftonville FC · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–2 - Rathfriland vs Ards · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Cup
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 1–0 - Strabane Athletic vs Glenavon FC · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Cup
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 0–5