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Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
NEC Nijmegen host Fortuna Sittard in the Eredivisie (Netherlands) on 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Fortuna Sittard.
Going into the match, NEC Nijmegen had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 23. Fortuna Sittard had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of NEC Nijmegen's last 10 and 8 of Fortuna Sittard's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home NEC Nijmegen averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.53 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Fortuna Sittard averaged 1.56 scored and 1.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.78 goals from NEC Nijmegen and 1.75 from Fortuna Sittard. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 37%, against 57%, 23% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between NEC Nijmegen (green) and Fortuna Sittard (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | DDDLL | 1.00 | 2.30 | 70% | 70% |
| Fortuna Sittard | DWWLW | 1.80 | 1.70 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| NEC Nijmegen Win | 57% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Eredivisie matches that day
- Twente vs Utrecht · 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 - Groningen vs Ajax · 18 Oct 2026, 14:45 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 - Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar · 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: AZ Alkmaar Win @ 1.50 · FT 2–2 - PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles · 18 Oct 2026, 10:15 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44