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Eredivisie · Netherlands
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cambuur host AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie (Netherlands) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is AZ Alkmaar Win — AZ Alkmaar to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cambuur 2–2 AZ Alkmaar.
Going into the match, Cambuur had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 24. AZ Alkmaar had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Cambuur's last 10 and 5 of AZ Alkmaar's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cambuur averaged 1.50 goals scored and 2.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home AZ Alkmaar averaged 1.50 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from Cambuur and 2.87 from AZ Alkmaar. From that it rates a home win at 10%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 75%, against 17%, 20% and 63% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cambuur (green) and AZ Alkmaar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur | WDWDL | 1.30 | 2.40 | 70% | 80% |
| AZ Alkmaar | WLWLD | 2.00 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| AZ Alkmaar Win | 64% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 49% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Eredivisie matches that day
- NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard · 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Twente vs Utrecht · 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 - Groningen vs Ajax · 18 Oct 2026, 14:45 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 - PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles · 18 Oct 2026, 10:15 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44