Navbahor vs Pakhtakor prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.36Market probability 66%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Navbahor host Pakhtakor in the Super League (Uzbekistan) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Navbahor to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Navbahor 1–1 Pakhtakor.

Going into the match, Navbahor had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 10. Pakhtakor had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Navbahor's last 10 and 7 of Pakhtakor's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Navbahor averaged 2.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Pakhtakor averaged 1.18 scored and 0.64 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from Navbahor and 1.22 from Pakhtakor. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 33%, against 38%, 27% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Navbahor (green) and Pakhtakor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form46% – 54%

Attack50% – 50%

Defence40% – 60%

Head-to-head62% – 38%

Goals62% – 38%

Overall strength49% – 50%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Navbahor	DWWDW	2.40	1.00	60%	50%
Pakhtakor	DWWDW	1.60	0.80	70%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	72%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	68%	1.37
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.41
BTTS Yes	54%	1.68
Under 2.5 Goals	51%	1.85
Over 8.5 Corners	50%	1.83
Over 2.5 Goals	49%	1.95
Navbahor Win	38%	2.38

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.