Dinamo Samarqand vs Buxoro prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.67Market probability 55%Final score 1–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Dinamo Samarqand host Buxoro in the Super League (Uzbekistan) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Dinamo Samarqand 1–2 Buxoro.

Going into the match, Dinamo Samarqand had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Buxoro had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 18 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Dinamo Samarqand's last 10 and 8 of Buxoro's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dinamo Samarqand averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Buxoro averaged 1.22 scored and 1.78 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.76 goals from Dinamo Samarqand and 1.45 from Buxoro. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 31%, against 50%, 26% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Dinamo Samarqand (green) and Buxoro (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form56% – 44%

Attack43% – 57%

Defence63% – 37%

Head-to-head38% – 62%

Goals44% – 56%

Overall strength50% – 49%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Dinamo Samarqand	LLWDD	1.30	1.30	70%	50%
Buxoro	WLLLD	1.80	1.80	80%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	76%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.34
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	64%	1.45
BTTS Yes	55%	1.67
Over 2.5 Goals	52%	1.80
Dinamo Samarqand Win	50%	1.80
Under 2.5 Goals	48%	2.00
Dinamo Samarqand HT & FT	34%	2.75

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.