Lokomotiv vs Nasaf prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.55Market probability 59%Final score 0–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Lokomotiv host Nasaf in the Super League (Uzbekistan) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Lokomotiv 0–0 Nasaf.

Going into the match, Lokomotiv had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 11. Nasaf had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Lokomotiv's last 10 and 5 of Nasaf's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lokomotiv averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Nasaf averaged 1.27 scored and 1.09 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from Lokomotiv and 1.14 from Nasaf. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 32%, against 34%, 27% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Lokomotiv (green) and Nasaf (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form45% – 55%

Attack42% – 58%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head29% – 71%

Goals30% – 70%

Overall strength41% – 58%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Lokomotiv	WLWWD	1.90	1.10	70%	70%
Nasaf	LWWDW	1.70	1.10	50%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

23 Apr 2026 · Nasaf 2–3 Lokomotiv

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	76%	1.21
Double Chance 12	72%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	71%	1.33
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	62%	1.51
BTTS Yes	59%	1.55
Over 2.5 Goals	55%	1.73
Under 2.5 Goals	45%	2.08
Nasaf Win	38%	2.30

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.