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FKF Premier League · Kenya

Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar prediction and preview

16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.28Market probability 72%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Nairobi United host Mara Sugar in the FKF Premier League (Kenya) on 16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Nairobi United to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Nairobi United had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Mara Sugar had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 8, with 7 scored and 7 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Nairobi United's last 10 and 3 of Mara Sugar's last 8; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nairobi United averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Mara Sugar averaged 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded across 5.

The 1X2 prices imply about 41% for Nairobi United, 31% for the draw and 28% for Mara Sugar once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Nairobi United (green) and Mara Sugar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence50% – 50%
Head-to-head62% – 38%
Goals56% – 44%
Overall strength53% – 46%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Nairobi UnitedDWDDL1.401.0040%40%
Mara SugarDLDLW0.880.8838%38%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

Other FKF Premier League matches that day