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FKF Premier League · Kenya
AFC Leopards vs Mombasa Elite prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AFC Leopards host Mombasa Elite in the FKF Premier League (Kenya) on 16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, AFC Leopards had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 8 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Mombasa Elite had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of AFC Leopards's last 8 and 3 of Mombasa Elite's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AFC Leopards averaged 0.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Mombasa Elite averaged 0.50 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.
The 1X2 prices imply about 64% for AFC Leopards, 24% for the draw and 12% for Mombasa Elite once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AFC Leopards (green) and Mombasa Elite (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Leopards | DLLWW | 1.00 | 1.25 | 50% | 63% |
| Mombasa Elite | LWDWL | 0.70 | 0.80 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
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Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals