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FKF Premier League · Kenya

3K vs GOR Mahia prediction and preview

16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 2.15Market probability 44%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

3K host GOR Mahia in the FKF Premier League (Kenya) on 16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 2.15, which the bookmaker market rated at about 44% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, 3K had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 9. GOR Mahia had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of 3K's last 10 and 4 of GOR Mahia's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home 3K averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home GOR Mahia averaged 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.21 goals from 3K and 1.24 from GOR Mahia. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 36%, against 16%, 24% and 60% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between 3K (green) and GOR Mahia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form25% – 75%
Attack33% – 67%
Defence50% – 50%
Overall strength36% – 64%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
3KDDWDD1.800.9060%60%
GOR MahiaWLLDD1.301.3040%30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

Other FKF Premier League matches that day