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Second League - Group 2 · Russia
Murom vs Tver prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Murom host Tver in the Second League - Group 2 (Russia) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Murom Win — Murom to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Murom 0–0 Tver.
Going into the match, Murom had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 6. Tver had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Murom's last 10 and 5 of Tver's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Murom averaged 2.27 goals scored and 0.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Tver averaged 1.62 scored and 1.92 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.59 goals from Murom and 0.77 from Tver. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 17%, against 57%, 25% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Murom (green) and Tver (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Jun 2026 · Tver 1–0 Murom
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.23 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.26 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.35 |
| Murom Win | 57% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.86 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Second League - Group 2 matches that day
- Dinamo Vologda vs Chertanovo Moscow · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Second League - Group 2
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.26 - Luki-Energiya vs Spartak Moscow 2 · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Second League - Group 2
Published pick: Luki-Energiya Win @ 1.54