Dinamo Vologda vs Chertanovo Moscow prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.26Market probability 73%Final score 0–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Dinamo Vologda host Chertanovo Moscow in the Second League - Group 2 (Russia) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.26, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Dinamo Vologda 0–1 Chertanovo Moscow.

Going into the match, Dinamo Vologda had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 17. Chertanovo Moscow had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Dinamo Vologda's last 10 and 7 of Chertanovo Moscow's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dinamo Vologda averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.31 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Chertanovo Moscow averaged 2.17 scored and 1.08 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.83 goals from Dinamo Vologda and 1.77 from Chertanovo Moscow. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 59%, against 23%, 25% and 52% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Dinamo Vologda (green) and Chertanovo Moscow (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form25% – 75%

Attack23% – 77%

Defence38% – 62%

Head-to-head71% – 29%

Goals63% – 37%

Overall strength41% – 58%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Dinamo Vologda	LLWDL	1.00	1.70	70%	60%
Chertanovo Moscow	WWLWW	2.20	1.00	70%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

28 Jun 2026 · Chertanovo Moscow 1–1 Dinamo Vologda

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance X2	78%	1.20
Over 1.5 Goals	73%	1.26
Under 3.5 Goals	70%	1.30
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.35
Chertanovo Moscow Win	52%	1.75
BTTS Yes	52%	1.81
Over 2.5 Goals	50%	1.85
Under 2.5 Goals	50%	1.85

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.