Municipal vs Guastatoya prediction and preview

19 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Municipal WinOdds 1.40Market probability 64%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Municipal host Guastatoya in the Liga Nacional (Guatemala) on 19 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Municipal Win — Municipal to win. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Municipal 1–1 Guastatoya.

Going into the match, Municipal had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 8. Guastatoya had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Municipal's last 10 and 8 of Guastatoya's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Municipal averaged 2.07 goals scored and 0.43 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Guastatoya averaged 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from Municipal and 0.53 from Guastatoya. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 11%, against 64%, 23% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Municipal (green) and Guastatoya (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form38% – 63%

Attack53% – 47%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head71% – 29%

Goals67% – 33%

Overall strength59% – 40%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Municipal	LDDWD	1.40	0.80	60%	40%
Guastatoya	DLWWW	1.40	1.40	80%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

16 Aug 2026 · Guastatoya 1–0 Municipal
4 May 2026 · Municipal 2–0 Guastatoya
1 May 2026 · Guastatoya 0–1 Municipal

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	69%	1.33
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	68%	1.36
Municipal Win	64%	1.40
BTTS No	57%	1.64
Under 2.5 Goals	51%	1.85
Over 2.5 Goals	49%	1.95
Municipal HT & FT	44%	2.10
1-0	15%	6.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.