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Liga Nacional · Guatemala
Marquense vs Suchitepéquez prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 02:10 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Marquense host Suchitepéquez in the Liga Nacional (Guatemala) on 19 Oct 2026, 02:10 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Marquense Win — Marquense to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Marquense 2–1 Suchitepéquez.
Going into the match, Marquense had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Suchitepéquez had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Marquense's last 10 and 7 of Suchitepéquez's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Marquense averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Suchitepéquez averaged 0.57 scored and 2.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.00 goals from Marquense and 0.80 from Suchitepéquez. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 13%, against 63%, 23% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Marquense (green) and Suchitepéquez (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquense | DDWWL | 1.10 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
| Suchitepéquez | DDLLD | 1.40 | 2.30 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Aug 2026 · Suchitepéquez 1–2 Marquense
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Marquense Win | 63% | 1.42 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.95 |
| Marquense HT & FT | 44% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Nacional matches that day
- Municipal vs Guastatoya · 19 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC · Liga Nacional
Published pick: Municipal Win @ 1.40 - Mixco vs Cobán Imperial · 18 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · Liga Nacional
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.70 · FT 3–1