Mixco vs Cobán Imperial prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.70Market probability 56%Final score 3–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Mixco host Cobán Imperial in the Liga Nacional (Guatemala) on 18 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Mixco 3–1 Cobán Imperial.

Going into the match, Mixco had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 17. Cobán Imperial had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Mixco's last 10 and 7 of Cobán Imperial's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mixco averaged 2.38 goals scored and 0.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Cobán Imperial averaged 0.70 scored and 1.70 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.06 goals from Mixco and 1.11 from Cobán Imperial. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 19%, against 54%, 25% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Mixco (green) and Cobán Imperial (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form44% – 56%

Attack53% – 47%

Defence43% – 57%

Head-to-head38% – 62%

Goals46% – 54%

Overall strength49% – 50%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Mixco	DDWLW	1.80	1.70	70%	50%
Cobán Imperial	WLWWD	1.40	1.40	70%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

15 Aug 2026 · Cobán Imperial 3–2 Mixco
3 May 2026 · Mixco 2–0 Cobán Imperial
30 Apr 2026 · Cobán Imperial 2–0 Mixco

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	76%	1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No	76%	1.20
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	62%	1.52
Mixco Win	56%	1.65
Over 2.5 Goals	56%	1.70
BTTS Yes	55%	1.66
Mixco HT & FT	37%	2.50
Draw	25%	3.60

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.