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1. Lig · Turkey
Muğlaspor vs İstanbulspor prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Muğlaspor host İstanbulspor in the 1. Lig (Turkey) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Muğlaspor had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 12. İstanbulspor had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Muğlaspor's last 10 and 5 of İstanbulspor's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Muğlaspor averaged 0.78 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home İstanbulspor averaged 1.10 scored and 2.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.87 goals from Muğlaspor and 0.92 from İstanbulspor. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 17%, against 41%, 29% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Muğlaspor (green) and İstanbulspor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muğlaspor | WLDDD | 1.30 | 1.20 | 50% | 40% |
| İstanbulspor | LLLWL | 0.90 | 2.30 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.22 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1. Lig matches that day
- Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük · 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 1. Lig
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Bandırmaspor vs Iğdır FK · 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · 1. Lig
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor · 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · 1. Lig
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28