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Ekstraklasa · Poland
Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Motor Lublin host Slask Wroclaw in the Ekstraklasa (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Motor Lublin 3–2 Slask Wroclaw.
Going into the match, Motor Lublin had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Slask Wroclaw had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Motor Lublin's last 10 and 8 of Slask Wroclaw's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Motor Lublin averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Slask Wroclaw averaged 2.11 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.09 goals from Motor Lublin and 1.46 from Slask Wroclaw. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 26%, against 50%, 25% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Motor Lublin (green) and Slask Wroclaw (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motor Lublin | WDLLW | 1.30 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
| Slask Wroclaw | LLLLL | 1.10 | 2.00 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Motor Lublin Win | 51% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ekstraklasa matches that day
- Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa · 17 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC · Ekstraklasa
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 1–1 - GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin · 17 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Ekstraklasa
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 0–1