Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.70Market probability 56%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Cracovia Krakow host Legia Warszawa in the Ekstraklasa (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Cracovia Krakow 1–1 Legia Warszawa.

Going into the match, Cracovia Krakow had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Legia Warszawa had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Cracovia Krakow's last 10 and 7 of Legia Warszawa's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cracovia Krakow averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.21 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Legia Warszawa averaged 1.67 scored and 1.42 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.08 goals from Cracovia Krakow and 1.48 from Legia Warszawa. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 45%, against 34%, 28% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Cracovia Krakow (green) and Legia Warszawa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form21% – 79%

Attack41% – 59%

Defence33% – 67%

Head-to-head60% – 40%

Goals60% – 40%

Overall strength41% – 58%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Cracovia Krakow	WLLLL	1.50	1.70	80%	70%
Legia Warszawa	WWWWD	2.50	1.20	70%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	78%	1.20
Over 1.5 Goals	75%	1.25
Double Chance 12	72%	1.33
Under 3.5 Goals	71%	1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	68%	1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.40
BTTS Yes	56%	1.70
Under 9.5 Corners	54%	1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.