GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.44Market probability 63%Final score 0–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

GKS Katowice host Pogon Szczecin in the Ekstraklasa (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: GKS Katowice 0–1 Pogon Szczecin.

Going into the match, GKS Katowice had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 14. Pogon Szczecin had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of GKS Katowice's last 10 and 6 of Pogon Szczecin's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home GKS Katowice averaged 2.75 goals scored and 0.94 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Pogon Szczecin averaged 1.17 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from GKS Katowice and 1.01 from Pogon Szczecin. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 27%, against 48%, 25% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between GKS Katowice (green) and Pogon Szczecin (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form45% – 55%

Attack59% – 41%

Defence18% – 82%

Head-to-head64% – 36%

Goals50% – 50%

Overall strength46% – 54%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
GKS Katowice	WWDWL	2.10	1.40	70%	80%
Pogon Szczecin	WDWWD	1.60	0.80	60%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

23 May 2026 · Pogon Szczecin 1–1 GKS Katowice

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	74%	1.25
Double Chance 1X	73%	1.28
BTTS 1st Half - No	72%	1.30
BTTS Yes	63%	1.44
Over 2.5 Goals	60%	1.53
Under 3.5 Goals	60%	1.57
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	56%	1.67
GKS Katowice Win	47%	1.90

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.