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League One · Scotland
Montrose vs Peterhead prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Montrose host Peterhead in the League One (Scotland) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Montrose had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 17. Peterhead had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Montrose's last 10 and 4 of Peterhead's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Montrose averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.56 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Peterhead averaged 1.79 scored and 1.29 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from Montrose and 1.03 from Peterhead. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 34%, against 45%, 25% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Montrose (green) and Peterhead (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 5 Sep 2026 · Peterhead 0–3 Montrose
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League One matches that day
- Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Cove Rangers vs East Kilbride · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Hamilton Academical vs East Fife · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Ross County vs Airdrie United · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40