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League One · Scotland
Hamilton Academical vs East Fife prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hamilton Academical host East Fife in the League One (Scotland) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Hamilton Academical had won 10, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 3. East Fife had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Hamilton Academical's last 10 and 7 of East Fife's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hamilton Academical averaged 2.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 15 matches; away from home East Fife averaged 0.91 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.76 goals from Hamilton Academical and 0.54 from East Fife. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 10%, against 70%, 19% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hamilton Academical (green) and East Fife (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton Academical | WWWWW | 2.30 | 0.30 | 30% | 60% |
| East Fife | LLDLL | 1.40 | 1.80 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Aug 2026 · East Fife 0–0 Hamilton Academical
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Hamilton Academical Win | 71% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League One matches that day
- Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Cove Rangers vs East Kilbride · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Montrose vs Peterhead · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Ross County vs Airdrie United · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40