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League One · Scotland
Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Alloa Athletic host Queen of the South in the League One (Scotland) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Alloa Athletic had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Queen of the South had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 28 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Alloa Athletic's last 10 and 7 of Queen of the South's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alloa Athletic averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.35 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Queen of the South averaged 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.86 goals from Alloa Athletic and 1.11 from Queen of the South. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 21%, against 53%, 24% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Alloa Athletic (green) and Queen of the South (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alloa Athletic | WDLLD | 1.30 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
| Queen of the South | LLWWW | 1.40 | 2.80 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Aug 2026 · Queen of the South 0–2 Alloa Athletic
- 2 May 2026 · Alloa Athletic 1–4 Queen of the South
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League One matches that day
- Cove Rangers vs East Kilbride · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Hamilton Academical vs East Fife · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Montrose vs Peterhead · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Ross County vs Airdrie United · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40