MOIK vs Karvan prediction and preview

22 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.65Market probability 56%Final score 3–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

MOIK host Karvan in the Birinci Dasta (Azerbaijan) on 22 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: MOIK 3–1 Karvan.

Going into the match, MOIK had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 11. Karvan had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of MOIK's last 10 and 4 of Karvan's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home MOIK averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Karvan averaged 0.83 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.96 goals from MOIK and 0.80 from Karvan. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 14%, against 38%, 26% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between MOIK (green) and Karvan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack50% – 50%

Defence57% – 43%

Head-to-head7% – 93%

Goals31% – 69%

Overall strength42% – 57%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
MOIK	WWWDL	1.50	1.10	40%	50%
Karvan	WDWLW	1.10	1.30	40%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	73%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	72%	1.30
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	65%	1.44
BTTS Yes	57%	1.65
Over 2.5 Goals	51%	1.85
Under 2.5 Goals	49%	1.95
MOIK Win	38%	2.40
Draw	26%	3.40

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.