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Birinci Dasta · Azerbaijan
Cəbrayıl vs Zaqatala prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cəbrayıl host Zaqatala in the Birinci Dasta (Azerbaijan) on 22 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cəbrayıl 7–0 Zaqatala.
Going into the match, Cəbrayıl had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 18. Zaqatala had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 29 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Cəbrayıl's last 10 and 4 of Zaqatala's last 10; 8 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cəbrayıl averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Zaqatala averaged 0.86 scored and 3.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 4.54 goals from Cəbrayıl and 0.92 from Zaqatala. From that it rates a home win at 92%, a draw at 6% and an away win at 3%, against 74%, 15% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 91%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cəbrayıl (green) and Zaqatala (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Apr 2026 · Cəbrayıl 3–2 Zaqatala
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Cəbrayıl Win | 74% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Cəbrayıl 1st Half Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Cəbrayıl HT & FT | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.85 |
| 3-0 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Birinci Dasta matches that day
- MOIK vs Karvan · 22 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Birinci Dasta
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.65 · FT 3–1 - Şimal vs Baku Sportinq · 22 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Birinci Dasta
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.73 · FT 5–2