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First NL · Croatia
Mladost Ždralovi vs HNK Cibalia prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mladost Ždralovi host HNK Cibalia in the First NL (Croatia) on 9 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mladost Ždralovi 2–1 HNK Cibalia.
Going into the match, Mladost Ždralovi had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 9. HNK Cibalia had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Mladost Ždralovi's last 10 and 4 of HNK Cibalia's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mladost Ždralovi averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 12 matches; away from home HNK Cibalia averaged 1.22 scored and 1.56 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.30 goals from Mladost Ždralovi and 0.83 from HNK Cibalia. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 22%, against 42%, 29% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mladost Ždralovi (green) and HNK Cibalia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mladost Ždralovi | LLWDD | 1.00 | 0.90 | 40% | 30% |
| HNK Cibalia | WWDLD | 0.80 | 0.80 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · HNK Cibalia 1–0 Mladost Ždralovi
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.08 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.