Millonarios vs Jaguares prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 62%Final score 4–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Millonarios host Jaguares in the Primera A (Colombia) on 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Millonarios 4–1 Jaguares.

Going into the match, Millonarios had won 2, drawn 7 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Jaguares had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Millonarios's last 10 and 7 of Jaguares's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Millonarios averaged 1.08 goals scored and 0.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Jaguares averaged 0.75 scored and 1.63 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.12 goals from Millonarios and 0.87 from Jaguares. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 13%, against 77%, 16% and 7% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Millonarios (green) and Jaguares (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form69% – 31%

Attack56% – 44%

Defence67% – 33%

Head-to-head29% – 71%

Goals33% – 67%

Overall strength56% – 43%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Millonarios	DDDDW	1.40	1.10	80%	40%
Jaguares	WLLLD	1.40	1.70	70%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Millonarios Win	77%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	74%	1.25
Over 2.5 Goals	62%	1.50
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	59%	1.57
Under 3.5 Goals	58%	1.62
Millonarios 1st Half Win	58%	1.62
Millonarios HT & FT	57%	1.67
BTTS No	55%	1.67

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.