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Primera A · Colombia
Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Águilas Doradas host Deportes Tolima in the Primera A (Colombia) on 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Águilas Doradas 2–1 Deportes Tolima.
Going into the match, Águilas Doradas had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Deportes Tolima had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Águilas Doradas's last 10 and 6 of Deportes Tolima's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Águilas Doradas averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Deportes Tolima averaged 0.88 scored and 1.63 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.44 goals from Águilas Doradas and 1.07 from Deportes Tolima. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 27%, against 33%, 30% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Águilas Doradas (green) and Deportes Tolima (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águilas Doradas | DDWLL | 1.20 | 1.50 | 60% | 40% |
| Deportes Tolima | LDDDD | 1.00 | 1.30 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera A matches that day
- Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas · 18 Oct 2026, 01:10 UTC · Primera A
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25 · FT 0–2 - Millonarios vs Jaguares · 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · Primera A
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50