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Primeira Liga · Portugal
Maritimo vs Santa Clara prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC · Estádio do Marítimo, Funchal
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Maritimo host Santa Clara in the Primeira Liga (Portugal) on 1 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Maritimo had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 22. Santa Clara had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Maritimo's last 10 and 5 of Santa Clara's last 10; 9 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Maritimo averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Santa Clara averaged 1.13 scored and 0.88 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.54 goals from Maritimo and 1.83 from Santa Clara. From that it rates a home win at 9%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 68%, against 28%, 29% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Maritimo (green) and Santa Clara (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maritimo | LLWLD | 1.10 | 2.20 | 80% | 90% |
| Santa Clara | LDWDW | 1.50 | 0.80 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.70 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Santa Clara Win | 43% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primeira Liga matches that day
- SC Braga vs Famalicao · 1 Nov 2026, 20:30 UTC · Primeira Liga
Published pick: Famalicao Under 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave · 1 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primeira Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Arouca vs Nacional · 1 Nov 2026, 15:30 UTC · Primeira Liga
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.20