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Primeira Liga · Portugal
Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC · Estadio do Fontelo, Viseu
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Academico Viseu host Rio Ave in the Primeira Liga (Portugal) on 1 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Academico Viseu had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Rio Ave had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Academico Viseu's last 10 and 2 of Rio Ave's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Academico Viseu averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Rio Ave averaged 0.88 scored and 1.13 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.72 goals from Academico Viseu and 0.98 from Rio Ave. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 20%, against 51%, 26% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Academico Viseu (green) and Rio Ave (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academico Viseu | LWLWW | 1.10 | 1.10 | 40% | 50% |
| Rio Ave | LWWLD | 0.90 | 2.10 | 20% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.75 |
| Academico Viseu Win | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primeira Liga matches that day
- SC Braga vs Famalicao · 1 Nov 2026, 20:30 UTC · Primeira Liga
Published pick: Famalicao Under 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Maritimo vs Santa Clara · 1 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primeira Liga
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Arouca vs Nacional · 1 Nov 2026, 15:30 UTC · Primeira Liga
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.20