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Liga Alef · Israel
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Ironi Beit Shemesh prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 15:05 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi host Ironi Beit Shemesh in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:05 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Maccabi Kiryat Malachi Win — Maccabi Kiryat Malachi to win. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 52% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 3–3 Ironi Beit Shemesh.
Going into the match, Maccabi Kiryat Malachi had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 7 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 4. Ironi Beit Shemesh had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6, with 8 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Maccabi Kiryat Malachi's last 7 and 4 of Ironi Beit Shemesh's last 6; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Maccabi Kiryat Malachi averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Ironi Beit Shemesh averaged 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.19 goals from Maccabi Kiryat Malachi and 1.01 from Ironi Beit Shemesh. From that it rates a home win at 79%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 8%, against 52%, 26% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (green) and Ironi Beit Shemesh (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | WWDWW | 2.00 | 0.57 | 57% | 57% |
| Ironi Beit Shemesh | WLWDL | 1.33 | 2.33 | 67% | 67% |
Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.39 |
| Maccabi Kiryat Malachi Win | 52% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Maccabi Kiryat Malachi HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Maccabi Kiryat Malachi form and statistics
- Ironi Beit Shemesh form and statistics
- Liga Alef statistics
Other Liga Alef matches that day
- Maccabi Ashdod vs Shimshon Tel Aviv · 18 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.85 · FT 0–1 - Hapoel Azor vs Dimona · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25 - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Tira · 18 Oct 2026, 14:55 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.66 · FT 0–1