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First Division · Ireland
Longford Town vs Athlone Town prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Longford Town host Athlone Town in the First Division (Ireland) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Longford Town 1–0 Athlone Town.
Going into the match, Longford Town had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 18. Athlone Town had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Longford Town's last 10 and 7 of Athlone Town's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Longford Town averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Athlone Town averaged 1.07 scored and 1.36 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.51 goals from Longford Town and 1.15 from Athlone Town. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 28%, against 34%, 25% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Longford Town (green) and Athlone Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Longford Town | DDWWL | 1.40 | 1.80 | 60% | 60% |
| Athlone Town | LWDWD | 1.90 | 1.20 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 7 Aug 2026 · Athlone Town 2–1 Longford Town
- 4 May 2026 · Longford Town 1–1 Athlone Town
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Athlone Town Win | 40% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other First Division matches that day
- Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · First Division
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–0 - Kerry vs Cork City · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · First Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 1–1 - Treaty United vs Cobh Ramblers · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · First Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 2–0 - Wexford vs UCD · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · First Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 2–5