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First Division · Ireland
Kerry vs Cork City prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kerry host Cork City in the First Division (Ireland) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kerry 1–1 Cork City.
Going into the match, Kerry had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 14. Cork City had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Kerry's last 10 and 8 of Cork City's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kerry averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Cork City averaged 1.50 scored and 1.07 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from Kerry and 1.30 from Cork City. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 35%, against 36%, 26% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kerry (green) and Cork City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 7 Aug 2026 · Cork City 3–1 Kerry
- 4 May 2026 · Kerry 1–0 Cork City
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 60% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other First Division matches that day
- Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · First Division
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–0 - Longford Town vs Athlone Town · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · First Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 1–0 - Treaty United vs Cobh Ramblers · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · First Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 2–0 - Wexford vs UCD · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · First Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 2–5