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Liga 3 · Georgia
Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lokomotivi Tbilisi host Merani Tbilisi in the Liga 3 (Georgia) on 16 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lokomotivi Tbilisi 1–2 Merani Tbilisi.
Going into the match, Lokomotivi Tbilisi had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 10. Merani Tbilisi had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Lokomotivi Tbilisi's last 10 and 7 of Merani Tbilisi's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lokomotivi Tbilisi averaged 1.88 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Merani Tbilisi averaged 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.51 goals from Lokomotivi Tbilisi and 0.94 from Merani Tbilisi. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 22%, against 39%, 26% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lokomotivi Tbilisi (green) and Merani Tbilisi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotivi Tbilisi | WWLDD | 1.70 | 1.00 | 60% | 50% |
| Merani Tbilisi | DDWWW | 2.00 | 2.00 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Merani Tbilisi 1–0 Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.27 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.64 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
| Lokomotivi Tbilisi Win | 37% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga 3 matches that day
- Gonio vs Irao · 16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.70 · FT 1–0 - Dinamo Tbilisi II vs WIT Georgia · 16 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 3–1 - Iveria Khashuri vs Betlemi · 16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 8–0 - FC Iberia 1999 II vs Didube 2014 · 16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 4–4 - Guria vs Varketili · 16 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Iberia 2010 vs Gardabani · 16 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 3–0 - Kolkheti Khobi vs Margveti 2006 · 16 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 2–2