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Liga 3 · Georgia
Gonio vs Irao prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gonio host Irao in the Liga 3 (Georgia) on 16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gonio 1–0 Irao.
Going into the match, Gonio had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Irao had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Gonio's last 10 and 7 of Irao's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gonio averaged 1.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Irao averaged 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.60 goals from Gonio and 0.99 from Irao. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 22%, against 51%, 24% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gonio (green) and Irao (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Irao 4–0 Gonio
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.72 |
| Gonio Win | 48% | 1.75 |
| Gonio HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga 3 matches that day
- Dinamo Tbilisi II vs WIT Georgia · 16 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 3–1 - Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi · 16 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Liga 3
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Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 2–2