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Liga 3 · Georgia
Guria vs Varketili prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Guria host Varketili in the Liga 3 (Georgia) on 16 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Guria to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Going into the match, Guria had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 3. Varketili had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Guria's last 10 and 4 of Varketili's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Guria averaged 2.92 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Varketili averaged 1.70 scored and 0.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from Guria and 0.76 from Varketili. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 16%. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Guria (green) and Varketili (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Varketili 1–1 Guria
Other Liga 3 matches that day
- Gonio vs Irao · 16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.70 · FT 1–0 - Dinamo Tbilisi II vs WIT Georgia · 16 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 3–1 - Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi · 16 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 1–2 - Iveria Khashuri vs Betlemi · 16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 8–0 - FC Iberia 1999 II vs Didube 2014 · 16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 4–4 - Iberia 2010 vs Gardabani · 16 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 3–0 - Kolkheti Khobi vs Margveti 2006 · 16 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 2–2