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Division 2 - Norra Götaland · Sweden
Kumla vs IF Karlstad II prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kumla host IF Karlstad II in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Sweden) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kumla 3–1 IF Karlstad II.
Going into the match, Kumla had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 27. IF Karlstad II had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Kumla's last 10 and 5 of IF Karlstad II's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kumla averaged 0.82 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home IF Karlstad II averaged 1.36 scored and 1.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.58 goals from Kumla and 1.28 from IF Karlstad II. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 30%, against 43%, 26% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kumla (green) and IF Karlstad II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kumla | DLWLD | 1.10 | 2.70 | 60% | 70% |
| IF Karlstad II | WLLLL | 1.10 | 1.90 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 May 2026 · IF Karlstad II 1–1 Kumla
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.21 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.51 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.60 |
| Kumla Win | 43% | 2.08 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Division 2 - Norra Götaland matches that day
- Grebbestad vs Vänersborgs FK · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.38 - Herrestads vs Ahlafors · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.29 · FT 2–6 - Lidköping vs Tord · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 3–0 - Skara vs Motala · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.45 · FT 6–2 - Stenungsund vs Husqvarna · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52 · FT 2–0 - Vänersborgs IF vs IFK Skövde · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52