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Division 2 - Norra Götaland · Sweden
Herrestads vs Ahlafors prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Herrestads host Ahlafors in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Sweden) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Ahlafors to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.29, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Herrestads 2–6 Ahlafors.
Going into the match, Herrestads had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 15. Ahlafors had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Herrestads's last 10 and 6 of Ahlafors's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Herrestads averaged 2.45 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Ahlafors averaged 1.73 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.47 goals from Herrestads and 2.61 from Ahlafors. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 61%, against 31%, 23% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Herrestads (green) and Ahlafors (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herrestads | LWLWL | 1.70 | 1.50 | 60% | 80% |
| Ahlafors | LWWLW | 2.50 | 1.20 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 May 2026 · Ahlafors 5–0 Herrestads
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 69% | 1.29 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.32 |
| BTTS Yes | 68% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 52% | 1.76 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 52% | 1.76 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 48% | 1.92 |
| Ahlafors Win | 46% | 1.94 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Division 2 - Norra Götaland matches that day
- Grebbestad vs Vänersborgs FK · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.38 - Kumla vs IF Karlstad II · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 3–1 - Lidköping vs Tord · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 3–0 - Skara vs Motala · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.45 · FT 6–2 - Stenungsund vs Husqvarna · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52 · FT 2–0 - Vänersborgs IF vs IFK Skövde · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52