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Division 2 - Norra Götaland · Sweden
Grebbestad vs Vänersborgs FK prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Grebbestad host Vänersborgs FK in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Sweden) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.38, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Grebbestad 2–3 Vänersborgs FK.
Going into the match, Grebbestad had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 16. Vänersborgs FK had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Grebbestad's last 10 and 4 of Vänersborgs FK's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Grebbestad averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Vänersborgs FK averaged 1.09 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.29 goals from Grebbestad and 1.38 from Vänersborgs FK. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 22%, against 52%, 23% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Grebbestad (green) and Vänersborgs FK (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grebbestad | DLWWW | 1.50 | 1.60 | 90% | 60% |
| Vänersborgs FK | DLLLW | 1.20 | 1.50 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 May 2026 · Vänersborgs FK 2–3 Grebbestad
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 70% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.38 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.73 |
| Grebbestad Win | 52% | 1.72 |
| Double Chance X2 | 48% | 1.86 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 47% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 23% | 3.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Grebbestad form and statistics
- Vänersborgs FK form and statistics
- Division 2 - Norra Götaland statistics
Other Division 2 - Norra Götaland matches that day
- Herrestads vs Ahlafors · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.29 · FT 2–6 - Kumla vs IF Karlstad II · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 3–1 - Lidköping vs Tord · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 3–0 - Skara vs Motala · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.45 · FT 6–2 - Stenungsund vs Husqvarna · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52 · FT 2–0 - Vänersborgs IF vs IFK Skövde · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52