Kocaelispor vs Göztepe prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 70%Final score 1–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Kocaelispor host Göztepe in the Süper Lig (Turkey) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Kocaelispor 1–2 Göztepe.

Going into the match, Kocaelispor had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Göztepe had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 18 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Kocaelispor's last 10 and 8 of Göztepe's last 10; 2 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kocaelispor averaged 1.20 goals scored and 0.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Göztepe averaged 1.90 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Kocaelispor and 1.10 from Göztepe. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 31%, against 34%, 27% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Kocaelispor (green) and Göztepe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form64% – 36%

Attack33% – 67%

Defence73% – 27%

Head-to-head80% – 20%

Goals63% – 38%

Overall strength62% – 37%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Kocaelispor	LWLWW	0.90	0.90	30%	20%
Göztepe	WDDLL	2.00	1.80	80%	80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

18 Apr 2026 · Kocaelispor 1–1 Göztepe

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	77%	1.22
Over 1.5 Goals	75%	1.22
Double Chance 12	72%	1.30
Under 3.5 Goals	70%	1.40
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.33
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	65%	1.44
BTTS Yes	56%	1.62
Over 2.5 Goals	51%	1.80

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.