Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.30Market probability 71%Final score 4–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Kasımpaşa host Samsunspor in the Süper Lig (Turkey) on 18 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Kasımpaşa 4–1 Samsunspor.

Going into the match, Kasımpaşa had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 9. Samsunspor had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 20 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Kasımpaşa's last 10 and 4 of Samsunspor's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kasımpaşa averaged 1.36 goals scored and 0.55 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Samsunspor averaged 1.08 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.98 goals from Kasımpaşa and 0.75 from Samsunspor. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 12%, against 38%, 28% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Kasımpaşa (green) and Samsunspor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form100% – 0%

Attack86% – 14%

Defence63% – 37%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals55% – 45%

Overall strength59% – 40%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Kasımpaşa	LDWDD	1.50	0.90	60%	50%
Samsunspor	LLLLL	1.00	2.00	40%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

8 Aug 2026 · Kasımpaşa 3–0 Samsunspor

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	72%	1.33
Over 1.5 Goals	71%	1.30
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.40
BTTS Yes	54%	1.73
Under 2.5 Goals	52%	1.80
Over 2.5 Goals	48%	2.00
Kasımpaşa Win	38%	2.40

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.