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First NL · Croatia
Karlovac 1919 vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Karlovac 1919 host Bsk Bijelo Brdo in the First NL (Croatia) on 9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Karlovac 1919 3–2 Bsk Bijelo Brdo.
Going into the match, Karlovac 1919 had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Bsk Bijelo Brdo had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Karlovac 1919's last 10 and 5 of Bsk Bijelo Brdo's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Karlovac 1919 averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Bsk Bijelo Brdo averaged 1.00 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.96 goals from Karlovac 1919 and 0.97 from Bsk Bijelo Brdo. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 33%, against 38%, 29% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Karlovac 1919 (green) and Bsk Bijelo Brdo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlovac 1919 | DLWLW | 1.60 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% |
| Bsk Bijelo Brdo | DWLWW | 1.10 | 0.80 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 Apr 2026 · Karlovac 1919 1–0 Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.