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Serie A · Italy
Juventus vs Lazio prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Juventus host Lazio in the Serie A (Italy) on 18 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Juventus Win — Juventus to win. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Juventus 0–3 Lazio.
Going into the match, Juventus had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 7. Lazio had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Juventus's last 10 and 5 of Lazio's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Juventus averaged 1.64 goals scored and 0.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Lazio averaged 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Juventus and 1.14 from Lazio. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 33%, against 57%, 25% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 36%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Juventus (green) and Lazio (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Juventus Win | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie A matches that day
- AC Milan vs Atalanta · 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 3–2 - Fiorentina vs Como · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–3 - Udinese vs Lecce · 18 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 0–3