Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.30Market probability 71%Final score 3–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Juve Stabia host Sudtirol in the Serie B (Italy) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Juve Stabia 3–0 Sudtirol.

Going into the match, Juve Stabia had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 16. Sudtirol had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Juve Stabia's last 10 and 5 of Sudtirol's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Juve Stabia averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Sudtirol averaged 1.14 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Juve Stabia and 0.89 from Sudtirol. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 25%, against 43%, 30% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Juve Stabia (green) and Sudtirol (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form40% – 60%

Attack38% – 62%

Defence30% – 70%

Head-to-head64% – 36%

Goals50% – 50%

Overall strength38% – 61%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Juve Stabia	DDDDL	1.50	1.60	70%	50%
Sudtirol	DLWLD	1.40	0.90	50%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

8 May 2026 · Sudtirol 1–1 Juve Stabia

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	73%	1.30
Over 1.5 Goals	71%	1.30
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	69%	1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	67%	1.40
Over 8.5 Corners	54%	1.73
Under 2.5 Goals	53%	1.75
BTTS Yes	52%	1.80
Over 2.5 Goals	47%	2.05

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.