Cesena vs Avellino prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.70Market probability 56%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Cesena host Avellino in the Serie B (Italy) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Cesena 1–1 Avellino.

Going into the match, Cesena had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Avellino had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Cesena's last 10 and 6 of Avellino's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cesena averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Avellino averaged 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Cesena and 1.25 from Avellino. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 36%, against 42%, 29% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Cesena (green) and Avellino (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form38% – 63%

Attack38% – 63%

Defence42% – 58%

Head-to-head62% – 38%

Goals60% – 40%

Overall strength49% – 50%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Cesena	LDDDW	1.30	1.10	50%	50%
Avellino	WLDWW	2.00	1.70	60%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	78%	1.20
Over 1.5 Goals	75%	1.25
Double Chance 1X	70%	1.36
Under 3.5 Goals	69%	1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	68%	1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.40
BTTS Yes	56%	1.70
Under 9.5 Corners	54%	1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.