Jong Utrecht vs Roda prediction and preview

19 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 63%Final score 1–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Jong Utrecht host Roda in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 19 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Jong Utrecht 1–2 Roda.

Going into the match, Jong Utrecht had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 23. Roda had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 9 of Jong Utrecht's last 10 and 4 of Roda's last 10; 9 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Jong Utrecht averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Roda averaged 1.64 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.07 goals from Jong Utrecht and 1.75 from Roda. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 52%, against 27%, 25% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Jong Utrecht (green) and Roda (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form47% – 53%

Attack73% – 27%

Defence27% – 73%

Head-to-head15% – 85%

Goals23% – 77%

Overall strength39% – 60%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Jong Utrecht	LLWWD	1.60	2.30	90%	90%
Roda	DLWDW	1.00	0.80	40%	20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	77%	1.22
Double Chance X2	74%	1.28
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	72%	1.30
Under 3.5 Goals	63%	1.50
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	61%	1.53
BTTS Yes	59%	1.57
Over 2.5 Goals	58%	1.62
Over 9.5 Corners	54%	1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.