Home › League stats › Eerste Divisie › Jong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Jong PSV U21 host Dordrecht in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 19 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Jong PSV U21 0–1 Dordrecht.
Going into the match, Jong PSV U21 had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 16. Dordrecht had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 27 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Jong PSV U21's last 10 and 7 of Dordrecht's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Jong PSV U21 averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Dordrecht averaged 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.94 goals from Jong PSV U21 and 1.45 from Dordrecht. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 28%, against 45%, 25% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Jong PSV U21 (green) and Dordrecht (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV U21 | DLDLW | 1.30 | 1.60 | 90% | 50% |
| Dordrecht | LDWLL | 1.30 | 2.70 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.72 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 48% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Eerste Divisie matches that day
- Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap · 19 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Jong Utrecht vs Roda · 19 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–2