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1 Lyga · Lithuania
Jonava vs BFA prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Jonava host BFA in the 1 Lyga (Lithuania) on 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.66, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Jonava 3–0 BFA.
Going into the match, Jonava had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 13. BFA had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Jonava's last 10 and 6 of BFA's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Jonava averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home BFA averaged 1.92 scored and 1.54 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.15 goals from Jonava and 1.21 from BFA. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 36%, against 40%, 24% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Jonava (green) and BFA (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 May 2026 · BFA 1–0 Jonava
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.66 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Jonava Win | 39% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1 Lyga matches that day
- Ekranas vs Dainava · 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 1 Lyga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 1–3 - Hegelmann II vs Tauras · 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 1 Lyga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 4–4 - Kauno Žalgiris II vs Transinvest 2 · 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 1 Lyga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–2 - Be1 NFA vs Neptūną Klaipėda · 16 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · 1 Lyga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65 · FT 2–0