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1 Lyga · Lithuania
Be1 NFA vs Neptūną Klaipėda prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Be1 NFA host Neptūną Klaipėda in the 1 Lyga (Lithuania) on 16 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Be1 NFA 2–0 Neptūną Klaipėda.
Going into the match, Be1 NFA had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 12. Neptūną Klaipėda had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Be1 NFA's last 10 and 3 of Neptūną Klaipėda's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Be1 NFA averaged 1.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Neptūną Klaipėda averaged 2.25 scored and 1.00 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from Be1 NFA and 0.79 from Neptūną Klaipėda. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 20%, against 50%, 24% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 37%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Be1 NFA (green) and Neptūną Klaipėda (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Be1 NFA | DWWWW | 1.70 | 1.20 | 40% | 60% |
| Neptūną Klaipėda | LLWLW | 1.10 | 1.20 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 May 2026 · Neptūną Klaipėda 1–0 Be1 NFA
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.26 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Be1 NFA Win | 49% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1 Lyga matches that day
- Ekranas vs Dainava · 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 1 Lyga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 1–3 - Hegelmann II vs Tauras · 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 1 Lyga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 4–4 - Jonava vs BFA · 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 1 Lyga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.66 · FT 3–0 - Kauno Žalgiris II vs Transinvest 2 · 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 1 Lyga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–2