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First NL · Croatia
Jadran LP vs Segesta Sisak prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · NK Jadran, Luka Ploce
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Jadran LP host Segesta Sisak in the First NL (Croatia) on 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Segesta Sisak +1.5 Asian Handicap — Segesta Sisak +1.5 Asian Handicap. It was published at odds of 1.21, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Jadran LP had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Segesta Sisak had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Jadran LP's last 10 and 6 of Segesta Sisak's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Jadran LP averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Segesta Sisak averaged 3.46 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Jadran LP and 2.09 from Segesta Sisak. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 52%, against 41%, 27% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Jadran LP (green) and Segesta Sisak (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadran LP | LDDLW | 1.60 | 1.30 | 60% | 40% |
| Segesta Sisak | WWLDW | 1.60 | 1.20 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other First NL matches that day
- Bsk Bijelo Brdo vs Kustosija · 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First NL
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Orijent 1919 vs Vukovar · 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First NL
Published pick: Orijent 1919 Draw No Bet @ 1.53 - Hrvace vs Dugopolje · 31 Oct 2026, 11:45 UTC · First NL
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33