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First NL · Croatia
Bsk Bijelo Brdo vs Kustosija prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bsk Bijelo Brdo host Kustosija in the First NL (Croatia) on 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Bsk Bijelo Brdo had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Kustosija had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Bsk Bijelo Brdo's last 10 and 5 of Kustosija's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bsk Bijelo Brdo averaged 0.67 goals scored and 0.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Kustosija averaged 1.25 scored and 1.08 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.89 goals from Bsk Bijelo Brdo and 0.84 from Kustosija. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 30%, against 40%, 30% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bsk Bijelo Brdo (green) and Kustosija (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bsk Bijelo Brdo | WDLDW | 1.30 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
| Kustosija | WWDLW | 0.80 | 0.90 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 Sep 2026 · Kustosija 1–2 Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| Bsk Bijelo Brdo Win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 36% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other First NL matches that day
- Jadran LP vs Segesta Sisak · 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First NL
Published pick: Segesta Sisak +1.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.21 - Orijent 1919 vs Vukovar · 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First NL
Published pick: Orijent 1919 Draw No Bet @ 1.53 - Hrvace vs Dugopolje · 31 Oct 2026, 11:45 UTC · First NL
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33